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Ben Southwood
- 80%的太空货物由一家单独的公司SpaceX发射
- 高达95%的AI计算芯片由一家企业设计
- 100%获批的mRNA疫苗由两家公司开发
- 推动AI进步的三家前沿实验室总共约有8000名员工——不超过科技行业的0.2%
- 五家公司(亚马逊、字母表、Meta、苹果和微软)共同占据了几乎是整个欧盟公共部门研发支出的两倍。
- 湾区约750万人创造的科技价值超过了整个欧洲约7.5亿人口创造的科技价值。
这些并不是孤立的事实。欧洲在生产推动我们在2026年看到的极其快速经济进步的异常公司方面落后了。
他们在生产异常公司方面落后,因为欧洲的劳动法使得冒险变得惩罚性。如果一家公司启动一个部门,除非该公司即将破产,否则运行该部门可能是非法的。
这意味着在欧洲冒险根本不值得。欧洲人在创新方面很出色,他们只是选择在美国进行创新。欧洲公司擅长渐进式改进,但他们不会冒险。
劳动市场监管是惩罚性的 -> 没有风险。没有风险,就没有异常奖励。这两者结合解释了软件时代欧洲的停滞。

Pieter Garicano2026年2月17日
Why don't European companies innovate? It is common to blame expensive energy, high taxes, anti-growth politicians, interest groups, and green regulations.
But California has the same problems, and has created the world's most innovative companies.
Europe's problem is labor law. Compared with America, it's far harder to let workers go when a business doesn't work out.
- It costs a large company roughly four times more to fire a worker in Germany or France than the US.
- German law requires employers to consider age, years of service, family obligations, and disability status when deciding who to lay off. Employees who would be least impacted by losing their job are prioritized for dismissal.
- German employees who take on a caregiving role are fully protected from dismissal for two years from the date they begin caregiving.
- Factory closures in Germany regularly lead to payments of over €200,000 per employee.
- French companies must be prepared to show a court that their financial results are struggling enough to make layoffs necessary.
- To avoid the difficulties of formal dismissals, many European companies entice workers to depart voluntarily, with payouts of up to four years' salary.
Taken together, a German worker is ten times less likely to be fired in a given year than an American worker. This high cost of firing makes failures more expensive. It pushes big European companies away from taking risks and leads them to concentrate on safe, unchanging areas.
Europe has the ingredients needed to succeed. Its citizens are educated and inventive; it has excellent infrastructure and the rule of law; and its culture is not that different from the one it had fifty years ago, when its companies were world-beating. If Europe wants to a Tesla or a Google, it only needs to make it cheaper for companies to fail. My new piece for @WorksInProgMag.

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